Fed’s Cook ‘prepared to raise rates’ if inflation persists
The Federal Reserve Board governor is the latest Fed official to embrace the prospect of tighter monetary policy in response to rapidly rising prices that have taken hold in recent years.
Inflation
Trump tells Warsh to Do ‘own thing’ as Fed chair sworn in
Warsh takes over at a tense moment for the economy and the central bank. Price pressures have reaccelerated in recent months, driven by the impact of war in the Middle East on energy supplies.
Fed’s Waller needs to see inflation improve before supporting a cut
Higher energy and commodity prices are intensifying headline inflation, which means inflation is headed is not headed in the right direction.
U.S. 30-year yield hits highest since 2007 on inflation angst
The 30-year rate increased six basis points to 5.18% on Tuesday, a level last seen on the brink of the global financial crisis in 2007, rising alongside US government yields across maturities.
Warsh to confront risks of dissenting in his first Fed vote
Warsh won the race for Fed chair partly through sketching out a road map to rate cuts on the premise that an AI-driven productivity boom would keep inflation low.
Fed’s Miran downplays inflation risks, rethinks rate cuts
Federal Reserve Gov. Stephen Miran Thursday said that the Iran war and tariffs will not have long-term impacts on inflation, but did say he is reconsidering his rate cut outlook for the year.
US Treasuries fall as inflation data erode Fed rate-cut wager
The setback pared a weekly gain for US government bonds sparked by an April 8 ceasefire agreement, which caused oil prices to tumble from near multiyear highs.
Energy prices drive up inflation by 0.9% in March
A 21.2% spike in the price of gasoline was the biggest contributor to a 0.9% increase in the Consumer Price Index in March, according to a Friday report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The agency said other price increases were largely contained.
Bond traders risk being wrongfooted by 2022 playbook, UBS warns
Treasuries and gilts especially reflect unrealistic expectations that inflationary pressures will goad central banks into another 2022-style rate-hiking cycle.
Iran war-fed inflation is taking rate cuts off the table
Two former members of the Federal Open Market Committee said in interviews that they expect the Federal Reserve to keep rates steady amid uncertainty over the ongoing war with Iran and the resulting upward pressure on inflation.
Fed’s Goolsbee says he could see circumstances for rate hike
Since the meeting, investors have rushed to price in higher rates as inflation fears have built in financial markets, though Treasuries rallied Monday after President Donald Trump said he would postpone strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure.
Treasuries slide as elevated oil prices fuel inflation fears
The Fed, European Central Bank and the Bank of England all held rates this week as policymakers grapple with the uncertain outlook for inflation and growth arising from the conflict in the Middle East.
Treasuries slide as oil’s rise fuels investor angst on inflation
Traders are now fully pricing in the next quarter-point rate reduction in mid-2027, and a growing chorus of Wall Street economists have also pushed their calls for the next cut further out the calendar.
Traders flip to betting against Treasuries as war drags on
This month's slump in Treasuries "is really a deleveraging dynamic," with traders liquidating long positions as they price in fewer Fed cuts and the risk of hotter inflation.
Stagflation trades sweep markets as Trump signals widening war
Treasury yields are up almost a quarter percentage point since the war in Iran started, while traders have pushed back bets on the timing of the Federal Reserve's next interest-rate cut and hikes.
Stocks, bonds fluctuate in holiday-thinned trade: markets wrap
The path of US interest rates remains in focus following the slower-than-expected US inflation print as traders fully price a Fed cut in July.
Wagers on Fed rate cuts seal Treasuries’ best week in months
Yields across maturities declined by at least three basis points Friday, led by shorter-maturity tenors that are most sensitive to Fed rate changes.
Fed’s Jefferson wary of inflationary pressure from AI
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said in a speech Friday that long-term productivity gains brought on by artificial intelligence could compel the central bank to maintain higher rates to keep prices stable.
Fed’s Cook calls recent inflation numbers ‘disappointing’
Federal Reserve Gov. Lisa Cook said in a speech Wednesday night that the central bank's credibility depends on its ability to bring inflation back to its 2% target.
Inflation slows to 2.7% in surprise November CPI report
The Bureau of Labor Statistics Thursday indicated that the Core Consumer Price Index indicated that inflation rose by only 2.7% in November versus a year ago, a pace that is the slowest rate of price increases since 2021.
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