Biggest State Street debate is where Bessent bond gauge goes
Coming into 2026, State Street expected yields to fall toward 3.5% or lower this year, but instead they've been on the rise.
Treasurys
U.S. yields hit two-month high as oil sparks inflation risk
Yields on Tuesday were higher by roughly two to four basis points across maturities, with the 10-year yield rising to touch its highest since late May at 4.64%.
Logan: Fed’s open market activities should be centrally cleared
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorie Logan said at an event Thursday that conducting monetary policy actions through a third party would improve efficiency and make markets stronger.
Jupiter fund cut Treasuries to zero as inflation risks rise
Signs of "overheating" in the U.S. economy mean interest-rate hikes are more likely there than in Europe, dimming the appeal of Treasuries.
Treasury two-year yield near 2026 high in global bond selloff
That short-term yield, which closely tracks expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, rose as much as five basis points to 4.23%.
Treasuries gain as weak jobs report dims Fed rate-hike bets
The yield on two-year Treasuries, which is the most sensitive to changes in monetary policy, fell 6 basis points to 4.11%, while the 10-year yield declined 2 basis points to 4.46%.
Bond heavyweights target market sweet spot for new Warsh era
From Capital Group to Insight Investment, Natixis and Pacific Investment Management Co., the message is the same: The sweet spot is the "belly," or the five-year area of the Treasury curve.
Treasuries gain before auctions as traders trim rate hike bets
Falling oil prices also ease pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates to fight inflation. Swap contracts priced in slightly lower chances of more than one hike in the next year.
US bonds rally as traders trim Fed rate-hike bets on Iran deal
The moves on Monday pushed yields lower on most tenors, led by shorter maturities that are among the most sensitive to changes in monetary policy.
Fed to maintain reserve management purchases at $10 billion
The New York Fed's open markets desk plans to conduct the reserve management purchases over the monthly period ending July 13 and conduct about $16.5 billion in reinvestment purchases over the same time.
Here are the key takeaways from the US CPI report for May
Inflation accelerated again in May as the Iran war pushed up energy prices, outpacing wages for a second straight month. The consumer price index climbed 4.2% from a year earlier.
Fed faces rising rate hike expectations, Schwab Center’s Martin says
The catalysts for higher rates are strengthening even as President Donald Trump renews his calls for looser monetary policy on the eve of the first Fed policy meeting led by new Chairman Kevin Warsh.
Treasuries pare gains after jobs openings back rate-hike view
Yields rebounded, trimming declines of two to three basis points across maturities, after the US Bureau of Labor Statistics' Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for April.
Bond trader bets on Fed hike poised for gut check from jobs data
Beyond developments in the Middle East, a big focus will be Friday's release of monthly employment figures, which are projected to show the labor market remained resilient in May.
Treasuries trim Iran war losses on week as oil retreats
Through May 27, the Bloomberg Treasury Index gained 0.7% on the week, on course for its best weekly performance since Feb. 27, the day before the war started.
Treasuries resume decline as U.S. strikes on Iran drive oil higher
US 10-year yields are poised to snap their longest streak of declines in six months, advancing one basis point to 4.49% due to waning optimism that a peace deal may soon be reached to the end the war between the US and Iran.
Treasuries rise as oil prices drop on signs of US-Iran accord
The 30-year bond's yield, which has closed above 5% every day since May 12, approached 4.98% at one point.
US bonds gain in catch-up trade as Trump sees Iran progress
On Monday, Trump said talks with Tehran on an interim deal to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz were "proceeding nicely."
Bond traders bet Fed under Warsh will hike rates this year
The shift gathered pace at the most recent policy meeting in April, when three voters on the Federal Open Market Committee voted against the decision to hold rates steady.
U.S. 30-year yield hits highest since 2007 on inflation angst
The 30-year rate increased six basis points to 5.18% on Tuesday, a level last seen on the brink of the global financial crisis in 2007, rising alongside US government yields across maturities.
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