Traders lock in Fed bets, boosting Treasuries for fourth week
The yield on US 10-year debt edged two basis point higher to 4.04% after falling to a five-month low Thursday, but still remained on course for a fourth week of declines.
Treasurys
Bonds climb as Fed traders lock in September cut: markets wrap
Treasuries climbed across the curve, driving two-year yields down three basis points to 3.51%. Money markets almost fully priced in three Fed reductions by the end of 2025.
Treasury investors ramp up bullish positions before CPI data
In SOFR options, which closely track the Fed's policy path, a number of large positions have emerged that look to benefit from an outsized cut of 50 basis points at next week's meeting.
Treasuries end four-day run of gains as focus turns to inflation
Investors are anticipating the annual preliminary benchmark revision of US payrolls data. Further signs of softening could further raise expectations for Fed easing.
U.S. Treasuries extend gains as traders turn focus to inflation
The attention will now turn to reports on producer prices and consumer prices, due Wednesday and Thursday, for signals of how quickly the Federal Reserve will lower borrowing costs.
BofA says U.S. bond rout likely over in absence of inflation shock
Debt markets globally were roiled this week as the yield on the 30-year Treasury rose to almost 5% before easing in the past two sessions.
Short-dated Treasuries fall as strong U.S. data dents rate bets
Yields on two- to five-year notes rose at least two basis points to session highs after the U.S. economy's second-quarter growth rate was revised to 3.3% from 3%, exceeding economist expectations.
Treasuries jump as Powell says risks may warrant cutting rates
Traders boosted wagers on a quarter-point cut next month, pricing in a roughly 85% chance of a move, up from around 65% before Powell spoke.
US Treasuries slip as traders trim rate-cut bets ahead of Powell
Traders were watching a slew of data on a bigger-than-expected increased in jobless claims and expanded manufacturing Thursday.
Treasuries rise as traders downplay inflation in Fed minutes
In minutes from the Fed's July meeting, officials highlighted the risks of inflation outweighing concerns over the labor market, which investors overlooked.
Trump tariffs get seal of approval as S&P affirms credit rating
While Trump's trade war has roiled markets, unnerved foreign governments and provoked criticism from leading economists, S&P affirmed its AA+ rating for the US — a score it's given since 2011.
Sumerlin says Fed would need to stop cuts if 10-year yields rose
Last year the Fed cut its benchmark rate by 50 basis points in September, and went on to lower rates twice more, even as 10-year Treasury yields rose.
Treasuries go 24-7 as repo trade hits blockchain on a Saturday
Canton, a public blockchain developed by Digital Asset Holdings, allowed a standard US Treasury repurchase agreement, or repo trade, to happen outside of normal market hours.
Stocks waver near record before key inflation data: markets wrap
U.S. consumers probably experienced a slight pickup in underlying inflation in July as retailers gradually raised prices on a variety of items subject to higher import duties.
Companies squeeze in more bond sales before summer lull sets in
Oneok plans to sell three-part, dollar-denominated senior unsecured notes while BMW is looking to price dollar-denominated debt in a four-tranche offering.
U.S. plans record $100 billion bill sale as borrowing needs mount
the mammoth size is also likely a harbinger of growing bill auctions ahead to help plug the federal budget deficit.
Treasuries fall as haven appeal wanes on US-Japan trade deal
Hopes that the U.S. will reach other trade deals ahead of its self-imposed Aug. 1 deadline are mounting.
Treasuries slip as investors take breather on Fed-driven rally
The recent rally was driven by economic data that reinforced wagers on at least two rate cuts this year, as well as speculation President Donald Trump will name a more dovish successor to Jerome Powell.
Treasury rally gains steam as economic data fuels rate-cut bets
Yields across maturities declined, with those on two-year notes falling five basis points and most reaching the lowest level in more than a month.
Treasuries gain as traders Seek Havens, July Fed-cut bets grow
Renewed expectations that the Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates as soon as next month supported gains in the bond market.
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